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	<title>Live From Silver City &#187; Democrats</title>
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	<link>http://www.avelinomaestas.com</link>
	<description>News and Photographs by Avelino Maestas</description>
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		<title>True Blue New Mexico</title>
		<link>http://www.avelinomaestas.com/2008/06/17/true-blue-new-mexico/</link>
		<comments>http://www.avelinomaestas.com/2008/06/17/true-blue-new-mexico/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Jun 2008 03:38:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Avelino Maestas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2008 Election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blogs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Harry Teague]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Martin Heinrich]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Pearce]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tom Udall]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.avelinomaestas.com/?p=1504</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[My friends at Democracy for New Mexico and New Mexico FBIHOP are fundraising again: they&#8217;ve started an ActBlue page for all of the Democratic candidates for federal office in New Mexico. They inlcude: Sen. Barack Obama, Rep. Tom Udall, Martin Heinrich, Harry Teague, and Ben Ray Lujan. The netroots is playing a big role in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a title="True Blue New Mexico 2" href="http://www.actblue.com/page/truebluenewmexico2"><img style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer" title="True Blue New Mexico" src="http://www.avelinomaestas.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/06/true_blue_200px.jpg" alt="Donate to Democratic Candidates" width="200" height="228" /></a>My friends at <a title="Pitch In to Create a True Blue New Mexico" href="http://www.democracyfornewmexico.com/democracy_for_new_mexico/2008/06/lets-make-it-tr.html">Democracy for New Mexico</a> and <a title="True Blue New Mexico 2.0" href="http://www.nmfbihop.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=1211">New Mexico FBIHOP</a> are fundraising again: they&#8217;ve started an <a title="True Blue New Mexico 2" href="http://www.actblue.com/page/truebluenewmexico2">ActBlue page</a> for all of the Democratic candidates for federal office in New Mexico. They inlcude: Sen. Barack Obama, Rep. Tom Udall, Martin Heinrich, Harry Teague, and Ben Ray Lujan.</p>
<p>The netroots is playing a big role in elections this year, and I give some serious props to Matt and Barb for stepping up and getting this effort going. I think it&#8217;s a testament to their hard work, and a recognition of the role they&#8217;re playing, that each of the New Mexican candidates are posting guest blogs this week (you can see Heinrich&#8217;s posts <a title="True Blue New Mexico: Martin Heinrich on the Case for Change" href="http://www.democracyfornewmexico.com/democracy_for_new_mexico/2008/06/martin-heinrich.html">here</a> and <a title="Our Time is Now" href="http://www.nmfbihop.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=1219">here</a>).</p>
<p><a title="True Blue New Mexico 2.0" href="http://www.nmfbihop.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=1211">Matt</a> has a great post introducing the project, highlighting the unique situation in New Mexico this cycle:</p>
<blockquote><p>In 2008, New Mexicans have a chance for a true change &#8212; a golden opportunity to make a True Blue New Mexico.  There are more Democrats than Republicans registered in the state, and Democrats control both the state Senate and House.  Yet in federal offices, Republicans hold a 3-2 advantage, including a 2-1 advantage in the House. This year, that can change &#8212; and change dramatically.</p></blockquote>
<p>I couldn&#8217;t agree more. I&#8217;ve thought that some additional attention in southern New Mexico from groups like the DCCC could help push the district closer toward the &#8220;Democratic&#8221; column, and with the right candidate Rep. Steve Pearce might have had a fight on his hands. With changing demographics, who knows what would have happened?<span id="more-1504"></span></p>
<p>But with Pearce facing what could charitably be called an uphill battle with Udall, there&#8217;s no incumbent and a wave of anti-Republicanism sweeping the country. The Third congressional district is safe, and I think Martin Heinrich will have a solid advantage over Darren White. The <a title="CD2: It's in Play" href="http://www.nmfbihop.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=1212">second district</a> would be tough regardless, but Teague can self-finance to a certain degree and that will help.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s some signs that New Mexico is trending more Democratic, and all of these candidates should have a great surrogate in Gov. Bill Richardson. But they need some help, and the best way to help is to donate early. Every dollar donated now is worth twice as much as money given later &#8211; early money will help the campaigns canvas voters, place ad buys sooner rather than later, and build their operations.</p>
<p>So, head on over to the <a title="True Blue New Mexico 2" href="http://www.actblue.com/page/truebluenewmexico2">ActBlue page</a> and give some money, and help turn New Mexico blue this November.</p>
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		<title>Mr. Fancy Pants in the New York Times</title>
		<link>http://www.avelinomaestas.com/2008/02/19/mr-fancy-pants-in-the-new-york-times/</link>
		<comments>http://www.avelinomaestas.com/2008/02/19/mr-fancy-pants-in-the-new-york-times/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Feb 2008 22:36:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Avelino Maestas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2008 Election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Personal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transparency]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.avelinomaestas.com/2008/02/19/mr-fancy-pants-in-the-new-york-times/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[No less than four women called me &#8220;Mr. Fancy Pants&#8221; when I relayed I had been interviewed by the New York Times yesterday. I imagine they must teach this term during girl&#8217;s physical education classes in grade school,  since I don&#8217;t remember it on the general curriculum and its use seems confined to the female [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No less than four women called me &#8220;Mr. Fancy Pants&#8221; when I relayed I had been interviewed by the <em>New York Times</em> yesterday. I imagine they must teach this term during girl&#8217;s physical education classes in grade school,  since I don&#8217;t remember it on the general curriculum and its use seems confined to the female population.</p>
<p>Anyhoo, in case you were <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/19/us/politics/19web-seelye.html" title="Keeping Tabs on the Superdelegates">wondering</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>These sites were all talking and cross-linking with each other and about two weeks ago they joined up with Congresspedia, a nonpartisan site that was already using the wiki process to build profiles of all members of Congress. Congresspedia, a project of the Sunlight Foundation and the Center for Media and Democracy, had a fairly high profile, as well as paid editors in place who monitor the site and make sure all entries are sourced. On Wednesday, Congresspedia emerged as the host site for S.T.P. and it has quickly become a clearing house for superdelegate information.</p>
<p>&#8220;The biggest portion of the new users who have come in the last four or five days are people with local knowledge at the state level or the district level,&#8221; said Avelino Maestas, assistant editor for Congresspedia. &#8220;We&#8217;re getting information that most people at a national level wouldn&#8217;t have.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>I think that first paragraph merits the only clarification I saw in the reportage: I don&#8217;t think anybody partnered up with Congresspedia until last week.</p>
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		<title>Clinton pulls ahead &#8211; but just barely</title>
		<link>http://www.avelinomaestas.com/2008/02/06/clinton-pulls-ahead-but-just-barely/</link>
		<comments>http://www.avelinomaestas.com/2008/02/06/clinton-pulls-ahead-but-just-barely/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 19:38:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Avelino Maestas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2008 Election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hillary Clinton]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.avelinomaestas.com/2008/02/06/clinton-pulls-ahead-but-just-barely/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The latest from KOB (they&#8217;ve had some of the best info, IMO) has Sen. Hillary Clinton up by 210 votes, while Sen. Barack Obama was ahead this morning. However, if I&#8217;m reading their story right, Rio Rancho&#8217;s results still haven&#8217;t been tallied: State Democratic Party leaders said 16,871 provisional ballots were being counted Wednesday. At [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The latest from KOB (they&#8217;ve had some of the best info, IMO) has Sen. Hillary Clinton up by 210 votes, while Sen. Barack Obama was ahead this morning. However, if I&#8217;m reading their <a href="http://kob.com/article/stories/S337475.shtml?cat=500" title="N.M. caucus remains too close to call">story right</a>, Rio Rancho&#8217;s results still haven&#8217;t been tallied:</p>
<blockquote><p>State Democratic Party leaders said 16,871 provisional ballots were being counted Wednesday.</p>
<p>At noon Wednesday, four precincts still had not reported their vote totals.  They included three precincts in Rio Arriba County and one in Sandoval County where Rio Rancho <span>voters experienced extremely long waits</span> at the city’s only polling location. Some reported taking three hours to cast their ballots.</p></blockquote>
<p>Also, the state Democratic Party&#8217;s Web site is less than helpful at 2:30 Eastern time (sorry, stuck in D.C. mode):</p>
<p><img src="http://www.avelinomaestas.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/Caucus_Results.jpg" width="475" /></p>
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		<title>And it&#8217;s a toss up</title>
		<link>http://www.avelinomaestas.com/2008/02/06/and-its-a-toss-up/</link>
		<comments>http://www.avelinomaestas.com/2008/02/06/and-its-a-toss-up/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 13:06:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Avelino Maestas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2008 Election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hillary Clinton]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.avelinomaestas.com/2008/02/06/and-its-a-toss-up/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Looks like New Mexico is continuing in its tradition of not picking a winner outright, and making the nation cool on its heels while the Land of Enchantment counts ballots: New Mexico’s Democratic caucus remained unsettled early Wednesday morning as Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama were separated by just 117 votes with nearly 17,000 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Looks like New Mexico is continuing in its tradition of not picking a winner outright, and making the nation cool on its heels while the Land of Enchantment <a href="http://kob.com/article/stories/S337475.shtml?cat=500" title="N.M. caucus too close to call">counts ballots</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>New Mexico’s Democratic caucus remained unsettled early Wednesday morning as Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama were separated by just 117 votes with nearly 17,000 provisional ballots yet to be counted.</p>
<p>With 98 percent of precincts reporting, Clinton held 65,845 votes, or 42.97 percent, while Obama held 65,728 votes, or 45.89 percent.</p>
<p>State Democratic Party leaders said 16,871 provisional ballots were still to be counted Wednesday morning starting at 9 a.m.</p></blockquote>
<p>The CNN <a href="http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#NM" title="CNN Election Results: New Mexico">site</a> for New Mexico doesn&#8217;t even have that much information, while the <a href="http://www.nmdemocrats.org/ht/display/ReleaseDetails/i/1129743" title=" Democratic Party of New Mexico Presidential Preference Caucus Results">vote tally section</a> of the New Mexico Democratic Party is still lacking information on Bernalillo, Doña Ana and Grant counties.</p>
<p>Hopefully the picture will firm up by the time LP comes on.</p>
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		<title>New Mexico Exit Poll Breakdown</title>
		<link>http://www.avelinomaestas.com/2008/02/05/new-mexico-exit-poll-breakdown/</link>
		<comments>http://www.avelinomaestas.com/2008/02/05/new-mexico-exit-poll-breakdown/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 03:41:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Avelino Maestas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2008 Election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hillary Clinton]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.avelinomaestas.com/2008/02/05/new-mexico-exit-poll-breakdown/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(Update: I should mention that this information should be taken with a grain of salt, because I have no idea how reliable the data is.) LP has already mentioned the overall results indicated by CNN&#8217;s exit poll from New Mexico. However, I wanted to take a look at a few things that stand out to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>(<strong>Update:</strong> I should mention that this information should be taken with a grain of salt, because I have <strong>no</strong> idea how reliable the data is.)</em></p>
<p>LP has already <a href="http://nmfbihop.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=704" title="CNN's Exit Polls Show Obama Ahead">mentioned</a> the overall results indicated by CNN&#8217;s <a href="http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#NMDEM" title="CNN EXIT POLLS: New Mexico">exit poll</a> from New Mexico. However, I wanted to take a look at a few things that stand out to me, notably this response:</p>
<p><img src="http://www.avelinomaestas.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/Top_Quality.png" alt="Top Candidate Quality" height="200" width="475" /></p>
<p>This indicates to me that Obama&#8217;s message of change played a very large role in New Mexicans&#8217; decisions in this election. &#8220;Change&#8221; was the most important issue for more than half of all voters, and they voted overwhelmingly for Obama.</p>
<p>More breakdown of the exit poll after the flip:<span id="more-1395"></span> <img src="http://www.avelinomaestas.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/By_Issue.png" alt="Most Important Issue" height="132" width="475" /></p>
<p>The economy is definitely on voters minds, and it looks like people most concerned by the situation were supporting Clinton. Unsurprisingly, Obama won among those who thought Iraq was the most important issue, while it was much closer in regards to the health care block.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s three charts on voters&#8217; gender, age &amp; race, and income:</p>
<p><img src="http://www.avelinomaestas.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/By_Gender.png" alt="Voters by Gender" height="144" width="480" /></p>
<p><img src="http://www.avelinomaestas.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/By_Age_and_Race.png" alt="Voters by Age and Race" height="428" width="475" /></p>
<p><img src="http://www.avelinomaestas.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/By_Income.png" alt="Voters by Income" height="100" width="475" /></p>
<p>So, while more women showed up to vote than men, it looks like the candidates split the female vote. Obama won among men though, and among those making more than $50,000 a year. Clinton was a big winner when voters were making less than $50K, and her support among Latinos of all ages is strong. However, it looks like Obama brought in more white voters than Clinton, and that white voters outnumbered Latinos.</p>
<p>Obama&#8217;s appeal among affluent voters appears strong: voters with a college education swung for him by a large margin:</p>
<p><img src="http://www.avelinomaestas.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/By_Education.png" alt="Voters by Education" height="143" width="475" /></p>
<p>Finally, here&#8217;s a bit on ideology, where Obama won among liberals and conservatives while Clinton carried moderates:</p>
<p><img src="http://www.avelinomaestas.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/By_Ideology.png" alt="Voters by Ideaolgy" height="132" width="475" /></p>
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